Walsh abandons forward guidance and repeatedly breaks BTC below POC 6w4. What has been washed out by this "grinding market" rebound? FOMC boots finally landed! The Federal Reserve announced with a 9-3 vote that interest rates (3.50% -3.75%) would remain unchanged. On the surface, there are three opposing votes advocating a 25bp interest rate hike (the first three opposing votes in the same direction since 2016); The new chairman, Kevin Warsh, directly delivered a harsh statement at the press conference: 'The 2% inflation target is non-negotiable, inflation will not decrease, interest rate hikes are still an option, and the Federal Reserve is abandoning forward guidance.'. one ️⃣ The narrative differentiation between the US stock market and AI: Micron plummeted nearly 10%, while Meta suffered a sell-off after hours due to a significant increase in AI capital expenditures to 130-145 billion yuan (the market began to bloody calculate ROI); Microsoft, on the other hand, withstood the trend by breaking through 100 billion yuan with its cloud business. two ️⃣ South Korean stock market suffered a "guillotine": KOSPI index plummeted more than 20% in two days, triggering circuit breakers! Even though SK Hynix's operating profit surged to 60.5 trillion Korean won in the second quarter, it was directly smashed by 15% due to slightly lower than the expected peak. three ️⃣ Black Swan Overlay: Japan's Kumamoto 7.1-magnitude earthquake hits semiconductor supply chain; Trump's statement of 'hitting Iran hard' has pushed up the geopolitical premium, with crude oil skyrocketing by over 7% in a single day! Looking back at the BTC short-term suppression zone, the range of $63965 to $64135 has shifted from support to an extremely heavy short-term intensive pressure zone. Strange signal (increased OI of holdings): Prices are weakening, active funds are flowing out net, but holdings are rising against the trend - indicating that while deleveraging at high levels, there is also a new round of non believing dead long or short chasing leverage crazily entering. At present, the marginal pricing power is still firmly in the hands of the seller. In the future, it is important to avoid frequent opening of warehouses during the "garbage time" when there is no upper or lower limit, and focus on these two key positions: Path A: Upside fake fall below recovery (re bullish) Follow $64500 to $64835. If the bulls can quickly withdraw from the area with volume, actively buy and turn positive, and release the momentum of MACD bulls, the loss of $63899 last night can be defined as a "false fall to lure short", and then it will test $64600 and $65640 upwards accordingly. Path B: Downward testing to buy a wall (probing for support) The first visible receipt below is $63230. If this position is lost, the price will inevitably hit a second bottom and enter the core support range of $62500 to $62000. Attention: Although the main force has cancelled the large pending orders of $62010 and $61300, according to previous methods, it is highly likely that they will be re listed for liquidity hunting during pin testing. FOMC Federal Reserve rate decision BTC rate hike expected AiCoin