小龙先生
小龙先生|7月 29, 2026 21:02
Bitcoin News Interpretation: Federal Reserve's "Bright Stop and Dark Eagle"+Three Dimensional Integrated Analysis Prediction Hey guys, are you staying up late for FOMC results? Don't stay up late, I will analyze the core points of FOMC and the subsequent market trend of Bitcoin for you. In the FOMC resolution, there were 9 votes in favor of keeping interest rates unchanged and 3 votes against advocating for a rate hike, marking the first time since 2016 that there were three opposing votes in the same direction. In name, it's not added, but in reality, it's very impressive. The interest rate hike has been put on the FOMC's agenda! 1. The core signal of FOMC resolution is very clear The interest rate remains unchanged at 3.50% -3.75% for the fifth consecutive time. However, Hamak, Kashkari, and Logan all voted against and advocated a 25 basis point interest rate hike. Walsh stated strongly at the press conference that the Federal Reserve does not have a "soft inflation target" and if inflation continues to remain high, "interest rates may be part of the solution" and will not hesitate to take action if necessary. With three opposing votes and a hawkish stance from Walsh, the expectation of a September interest rate hike has been pushed up to 82% by the market. 2. The BTC market's response to this news BTC briefly surged 64745 before falling back to around 63500, and is currently oscillating around 0.618 (63750) during the small cycle Fibonacci retracement. Short positions can appear again and again, while long positions have a serious shortage of rebound volume, confirming a pattern of rising and falling. The daily volume price deviation structure remains valid. After the hawkish news hits the ground, in the short to medium term, I personally believe that the Bitcoin price is likely to fluctuate and fall in the future, but it will definitely not fall smoothly. The target price is to first look at 62500 and then at 61500. Short term support 63100-63300, resistance 63800-64000. 3. Quick overview of long short signals in the three-dimensional integrated trading system Short selling signal: Long positions can decay, and the daily volume price deviation remains valid; Short positions can be significantly large within the past week, with short positions temporarily dominating; Secure the hanging order above 64500 to form a throwing pressure wall. Make multiple signals: 63100-63300 support continues to hold, and buying below is solid; Giant Whale has increased its holdings of 66700 BTC in the past 60 days, with large funds being raised; Miners hoard (MPI negative value), supply side pressure is controllable. 4. BTC trading strategy The Federal Reserve's "bright stop and dark eagle" policy is bearish in the short term. However, from the signals of long positions, it seems that the giant whale is constantly attracting funds, making it difficult to take long or short positions. If 63100-63300 shows a high volume, long downward shadow, and stabilizes, it is recommended to hold light positions and short positions, with a target of 64000-64500; If the rebound reaches 63800-64000 and there is a signal of obstruction, go short and target 62500-63000. The above are only short-term trading strategies for reference only. At present, it is still a short-term narrow range oscillation+medium-term wide range oscillation framework. The volatile market at the end of a bear market can easily make people lose control of their emotions. Controlling hands and emotions is a compulsory course in trading.
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