【 BTC approaches 67.5K, CLARITY bill becomes the biggest variable, but there is still a hurdle BTC successfully reached 66K, hitting $66956 during trading, setting a new high in nearly two weeks and rising 1.62% in the past 24 hours. From 65K to 66.8K, in less than two days. Now almost all KOLs on the internet are unanimously turning to bullish and bullish, and the cries of the bulls returning quickly are endless. Is this really the case? 1. A set of core data BTC's current price is around 66600, with a intraday high of 66956, and a 24-hour transaction of approximately $1.25 billion. The Fear Greed Index rebounded from 25 to 33, breaking away from the extreme fear range. A total of 204 million US dollars was liquidated on the internet, with 158 million short positions, accounting for 77.5%. Typical short selling market. ETF institutions have a net inflow of over 200 million US dollars, and short orders with thin orders are average. Therefore, the current market trend is bullish and not suitable for short selling. Short term long and short positions can go in 180 directions in a day, so seize the opportunity. I don't like or participate in ultra short term trading anymore. 2. Long and short positions can adjust prices with a downward trend The price of Bitcoin fell from 66.9K to around 66K, and the 1-hour continuous surge failed to stabilize at 66.8K. High selling pressure is increasing, and short-term trading tends to fluctuate towards high levels. During the high phase, funds concentrate and enter the market in large quantities, but during the pullback phase, trading volume continues to shrink, and the attacking power of bulls is weakening. The short position is also very weak, and there is limited room for further decline. It is estimated that it will be adjusted to a level above 65000. 3. CLARITY Act becomes the core catalyst This is currently the largest variable in the market. According to reports, the White House has reached an agreement on ethical provisions, with Trump agreeing to the "most comprehensive and extensive" ethical provisions in history. But there is still a hurdle: the Democratic Party insists on having state attorneys general enforce ethical restrictions, while the White House advocates for the Attorney General to take the lead, and the two sides are still in a tug of war. Maryland Senator Alssobrooks has stated that if law enforcement is led by the Department of Justice, he will not support the bill. The probability of Polymarket passing has rebounded to about 42%, and the core checkpoint of the bill is being opened, but it has not yet been fully implemented. 4. Market forecast and core conclusion 68K is the next key resistance level and the average opening price for buyers over the past five months. Investors who have suffered losses in the early stages may choose to exit when they return to the cost line. Meanwhile, 68K was also the position where the rebound failed in June. If there is a breakthrough in the CLARITY bill negotiations, BTC may continue to attack 68K or even 70K; if the ethical clause deadlock continues, it is expected to fluctuate and change hands within the 65K-68K range. The daily chart has begun to show a deviation between volume and price, and the first target for future price rebound is estimated to be 67500 (close at hand, may be reached within 1-2 days); The second target is 70800, which is a large period Fib 0.5. The highest target is in the range of 70800-71500, with a probability adjusted to 50%; The most likely highest target price for this round of rebound; As for the position of 73000 or MA200, the ultimate goal of this round of rebound is difficult to reach as a bear market rebound, with a probability of 5%. My personal prediction is that the rebound will reach 70800-73000, and this dead cat rebound will come to an end, continuing to fluctuate widely and fall to the bottom. 5. Military strategy Currently not chasing high, waiting for callback confirmation. If there is a stabilizing signal near 65.5-66K, you can take a light position and try long, with a target of 67K-68K and a stop loss of 64.8K. If there is a long upper shadow obstruction signal at 68K, you can take a light short position, target 66K, and stop loss at 69K. Direction judgment relies on logic, quantity, and capital flow, as well as K-line confirmation such as entering and opening positions. Bitcoin BTC 3D Integrated Trading Analysis CLARITY Act