This wave of $BTC has already seen 4 consecutive green candles, and right now it’s just hitting the core descending trendline on the weekly chart. Market sentiment is gradually turning bullish, but judging from the capital structure, this looks more like short covering and localized short squeezes in a stockpile market, rather than a true trend reversal. OKX U.S. stocks are still in wide fluctuations, and the policy environment is in a phase of expectation games. There’s not enough strong external capital to support $BTC for a major rally. So for the next two weeks, I lean toward this scenario: the big players will use the inertia of the 4 consecutive green candles to push up to 67,500–68,500, maybe even briefly pierce the trendline to trigger stop-losses for shorts above, creating the illusion of a “breakout confirmation.” Once the chasing buyers and high-leverage longs flood in, they’ll quickly reverse the trend, pulling back to 63,000, and in extreme cases, testing 60,500–61,500. Key levels: Short observation zone: 67,500–68,500 Invalidation level: A solid hold above 69,500 Long observation zone: 60,500–61,500 Invalidation level: A drop below 59,000 At the current level, chasing longs has a poor risk-reward ratio. A true reversal isn’t about piercing the trendline—it’s about holding steady above 69,500–70,500 on the weekly chart and not breaking down on a retest. Before that happens, the 4 consecutive green candles look more like emotional groundwork for a bull trap. The cruelest part of the market isn’t making you miss out—it’s making you believe in the reversal, only to trap you at the peak.