Aaron Dishner
Aaron Dishner|Jul 21, 2026 02:31
BTC whipsawed from 65,800 down to 63,100 before closing green, and that four percent wick sets the stage for a July bull trap inside this bottom year. The 69K target lines up with the top of the TBO cloud and matches the 19% average move seen in the 2018 and 2022 bear markets, with resistance clustered between 66K and 68K standing in the way. I expect RSI crossing above 70 to mark the exit, with the bear market bottom still projected for late September into early October near 38,555. Ethereum closed up 1.74% and is pushing toward TBO resistance at 1929 on the way to a 2,000 target, though a higher high there would likely come with bearish RSI divergence. Stablecoin dominance closed red and remains in bearish consolidation, Bitcoin dominance printed a TBO breakout on the four hour, and Ethereum dominance moving back above its cloud is another pivot high warning worth watching alongside Solana dominance and the broader money flow into large and low cap alts. DXY closed up 0.24% above its cloud but I still expect a drop toward support, while USDJPY keeps coiling toward TBO resistance at 162.607 despite that bearish dollar view. S&P Futures remain stuck inside the cloud in bearish consolidation, gold, silver, and platinum are all showing weakness, and the WTI crude short stays open after a 5% drop with more downside expected. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Volatile Close 04:42 Bear Market Duration and October Bottom 08:33 Four Hour TBO Breakout 13:04 Bitcoin Dominance TBO Breakout 18:42 Crypto Money Flow 24:02 Tesla Support Warning 30:13 Gold Silver and WTI Crude Oil 38:08 Solana TBO Close Shorts 42:23 MYX Bullish Divergence 46:08 Lido Finance Short Setup 50:40 Weekly Fast Line and Profit Taking 54:34 Polkadot Bearish Outlook 58:19 Aave and TAO 62:28 AEHR Gap Support 68:31 Bitcoin Bottom Entry Timing(Aaron Dishner)
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