小龙先生|Jul 21, 2026 00:20
Bitcoin On-Chain Data Analysis: ETF institutional funds are flowing back, market leaning bullish.
1. **ETF Fund Flows**: Net inflows for three consecutive days.
Bitcoin ETFs saw a cumulative net inflow of $367.9M over three trading days, led by BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC. Reduced GBTC redemptions have driven the overall industry net balance higher.
Last week’s total net inflow was $76.2M, compared to $197.4M the previous month, indicating a recovery in institutional demand. ETF investors’ unrealized losses have mostly returned to breakeven.
2. **Derivatives Market**: Confidence improving.
Futures open interest (OI) rose with prices to $32B, while options OI increased by 7.7% to $30.1B.
The gap between implied volatility and realized volatility has narrowed, and demand for protective put options has decreased. Market sentiment is shifting toward a neutral-to-bullish outlook.
3. **BTC Inflows to Exchanges**: Selling pressure under control.
According to CryptoQuant, recent exchange inflows are around 22,100 BTC, still significantly below historical peaks, suggesting holders are not engaging in large-scale sell-offs.
This data reflects a more balanced market participation rather than widespread distribution.
**Quick Summary**:
With overall capital inflows into BTC warming up, the short-term trend leans bullish. However, we need volume signals to confirm the validity of the 65.7K breakout.
Shorting signals are not mature → Shorting is not advised. Short-sellers, stay cautious out there.
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