小龙先生|7月 20, 2026 12:23
Latest Bitcoin Market Report
BTC 65K is just around the corner, but the volume hasn't kept up, and long and short are repeatedly engaged in a tug of war! 】
Brothers and sisters, BTC has returned to the vicinity of 64500 again. It bounced from 63K support position at the weekend, reaching 65100 at most, but it just couldn't stand steadily.
On Monday morning, there was a sharp rise and fall, with a familiar script, different formulas, and intense battles between long and short sides!
1. A set of core data
The current price of BTC is 64500-64700, with a slight decrease of 0.4% -1.1% in 24 hours. The fear index is 29, with 8 consecutive days of 'fear'. The 24-hour spot trading volume is about 16 billion US dollars, far below the average daily volume of 30 days. There is a game of stock and incremental funds have not come in.
2. Analysis of the Strength of Long Short Quantity Energy
On the bullish side, the candlestick pattern belongs to the "small bullish line rubbing upwards", but the trading volume has not kept up, typical of "bullish relative strength", with intentions but weakness. The bears did not actively hit the market, but there was a buildup of selling in the 65000-65100 area, and every time they reached this point, they were pushed back.
Quantitative improvement conclusion: Bulls are relatively strong, not absolutely strong. Emotionally driven rebound, not fund driven breakthrough.
3. On chain data: Smart money is taking over, institutions are hesitating
ETF has had a net inflow for two consecutive weeks, with $75.7 million last week, ending an eight week outflow. But compared to the previous outflow of 8 billion, this amount is a drop in the bucket.
Today's early trading ETF saw a slight net outflow of approximately $76 million, with institutions taking profits at high levels. The long short ratio of large investors is 1.46, and professional funds have not left, waiting for signals.
On the order book, there is a super large amount of pending purchase orders, indicating that there are funds below 63500 to take over the orders and the price cannot fall.
4. Market forecast and core conclusion
Core contradiction: The bulls are pushing, but the volume is not keeping up. The sales wall of 65000-65100 is a real existence and must be increased in quantity to pass.
If the volume continues to shrink and the market is sideways, it indicates that the bulls have insufficient willingness to attack, and the probability of a retracement of 63.5-64K increases. If the bears do not take the initiative to attack, but the bulls cannot push themselves, the price will naturally fall back.
However, the bulls took the initiative to launch a battle above 63500, and the price is likely to continue to fluctuate and rebound in the future.
Core conclusion: 65.7K is the examination room. Steady at 65.7K with high volume, looking up at 67-68K; if worn for too long, long shadows will appear, stepping back at 63.5-64K.
5. Military strategy
The current central axis area, do not guess the direction, wait for the result of 65.7K first.
Long position: Increase trading volume and stabilize at 65.7K (4H physical bullish line+significantly increased trading volume) → Take a light position and try long, with a target of 67-68K and a stop loss of 64.5K.
Short selling: A long upper shadow or solid bearish candlestick near 65.7K is confirmed to be blocked → Light position test short, target 64K-63.5K, stop loss 66.5K.
Bitcoin BTC 3D Integrated Trading Analysis
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