[The U.S.-Iran conflict enters a phase of simultaneous fighting and negotiation, Israel remains restrained but faces intervention risks] BlockBeats News, July 20 — The United States and Iran are maintaining a fragile balance between military actions and diplomatic negotiations, with neither side crossing the other's core red lines. Analysts believe that while Israel has not directly intervened in the conflict for now, it may still launch military actions targeting Iran's nuclear facilities and missile capabilities if the situation escalates. Reports indicate that Israel's previous "Operation Roaring Lion" against Iran was temporarily halted after the U.S. and Iran reached a 14-point framework agreement, which created a 60-day window for negotiations aimed at achieving a long-term resolution. Currently, the U.S. continues to strike targets within Iran, focusing on facilities related to the Strait of Hormuz and conducting limited attacks on infrastructure such as bridges and railways to pressure Iran. Iran, in turn, has responded by attacking U.S. targets in the region, including those in Jordan and Saudi Arabia, but has not directly targeted Israel. Analysts point out that there is an undisclosed "red line" between the U.S. and Iran: the U.S. avoids large-scale strikes on Iran's core national infrastructure, while Iran refrains from expanding the conflict to Israeli territory. However, Israel may directly intervene under the following three scenarios: · First, if the U.S. expands the scope of its military actions. Should U.S. forces attack Iran's nuclear facilities or ballistic missile projects, including critical targets like "Pickaxe Mountain" that have not been affected previously, Iran may escalate its retaliation, prompting Israeli involvement. · Second, if misjudgments by any party lead to conflict escalation. Sudden actions by the U.S., Iran, or Israel could disrupt the current limited conflict status. · Third, if Israel actively seeks military opportunities to strike Iran's nuclear facilities and missile capabilities, aiming to achieve the objectives left unfinished by "Operation Roaring Lion." Meanwhile, Israel is intensifying efforts to influence public opinion within the U.S. According to The Wall Street Journal, the Israeli government has recently invested over $45 million to improve American public perception of Israeli policies, including using AI-generated text messages to conduct opinion campaigns. [Original link]