Then, we had a series of three eras of advancement, in which machines rapidly gained areas of capabilities that far exceeded our own: * In the industrial revolution, mass manufacturing, or generally the ability to perform the exact same action millions of times * With calculators and computers, the ability to do mental tasks that can be defined via an analytic-philosophy-style logical definition (eg. computer code) * With LLMs, the ability to do mental tasks (and physical tasks, eg. already self-driving cars) that can be defined via a large set of examples But even after all three waves, at least today, there is still a large range of capabilities that remain unique to humans. A big question facing us is: is the LLM wave "the real deal", in the sense that, as they keep getting better, they will eventually cover either all missing capabilities, or at least enough capabilities that the rest can be worked around, or are LLMs simply a continuation of the same pattern, and it will take some fourth or fifth wave to go the rest of the way?(vitalik.eth)