小龙先生
小龙先生|7月 18, 2026 18:37
3D Integrated Trading AI analyzes and predicts the market bottom price range, time window, and probability distribution for this bear market as follows Most likely scenario for Bitcoin's next path: The current rebound from 62,538 is an intermediate bounce (similar to the May 2022 rebound from 25,400 to 31,000), with a target of 66,000-68,000. After the rebound ends, the next wave of decline will hit the true bear market bottom: the 45,000-54,000 range (0.618-0.66 Fib retracement), with the time window in October-November 2026 (consistent with the historical bear market average of 382 days). Why is the bear market bottom at 45,000-54,000? (1) 0.618 (47,620) is the most frequently touched deep retracement level in historical bear markets; (2) Price/MA200 needs to reach -40% to -50% (currently only -12%), and 45,000-54,000 corresponds to a price/MA200 of about -35% to -45%; (3) No macro catalysts strong enough to trigger a catastrophic drop have been observed; Core principle of the 3D Integrated System: No preset assumptions, wait for signals. The above is probability analysis; actual entry must be based on signals: (1) A long signal at 62,538 has already appeared, so participating in the rebound now is possible (3-5% position); (2) If a top signal appears at 66,000-68,000 (long upper shadow/high-level spinning top/volume-price divergence), short to 54,000-58,000; (3) If a weekly-level bottom signal appears at 45,000-54,000 (volume contraction + price stabilization + consecutive bullish candles + strong gravitational level), that will be the final entry opportunity for this bear market. Before signals appear, all predictions are just probabilities.
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