[The Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in July is 88.8%] Jin10 Data reported on July 17: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 88.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 11.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by September is 48.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 46.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 5.1%.