BlackJack
BlackJack|7月 16, 2026 04:05
The logic I wrote in early July can now be slightly reviewed. The first prediction back then was that the tech sector would undergo a correction for about a month after hitting its late June highs. Although it’s only mid-July now, we can see that both A-shares and U.S. tech stocks have generally adjusted for around 20 days. I’ve also basically avoided this round of domestic tech declines. The second prediction was about CPI dropping and gold rebounding. CPI has indeed dropped significantly, and there’s no rate cut in July. The likelihood of a rate hike before September is now 50/50, so we still need to wait for August data. You could say the inflation turning point was temporarily predicted correctly, but precious metals haven’t rebounded much. At the end of June and early July, gold was at 39xx, and now it’s only at 40xx. Why isn’t it stronger? Not sure yet—might need to wait for new inflation data to come out. The third prediction was about $BTC’s daily + weekly potential bullish divergence. Over the past half month, we’ve indeed seen a rebound. Whether the rebound is over or not is still unclear for now. So far, 2 out of the 3 predictions have held up, while one is still under observation. Let’s patiently wait for the earnings reports. #Crypto #TechStocks #Gold #CPI #TradingLogic
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