Phyrex|Jul 13, 2026 01:04
Got up early just to check CME oil prices, and it opened at a high of $74.5. My first thought: 'That's it?' Guess I'll check again tonight when the US stock market opens. Good thing I closed part of my position yesterday, or I'd be riding a roller coaster at $73.
This also shows that our friends in Asia don't seem to expect the US-Iran conflict to escalate into a full-blown war. But I noticed the spread between Brent and WTI has exceeded $4. If it goes up a bit more, I'll short Brent.
If the spread exceeds $5, shorting Brent could offer about $2 in arbitrage opportunities. You can set up positions around $80 or $83 for Brent. Hormuz tends to have a slightly bigger impact on Brent.
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