小龙先生|7月 12, 2026 21:52
⚠️Attention: At 8:30 PM on July 14, the Federal Reserve will release the CPI data, which will impact Bitcoin's short-term trend direction❗️
In the article I published on Saturday, *《BTC 64.5K Stalemate Awaits Breakthrough: Bulls and Bears Playing Dead Ahead of CPI, Will This Data Trigger a Direction?》*, I mentioned:
The CPI data will be released on July 14 (next Tuesday). Over the weekend, it's highly likely that BTC will consolidate with low volume in the 63.5K-64.5K range, as neither bulls nor bears will take heavy positions before the data is out.
Looking back at Bitcoin's price movement over the weekend, BTC indeed consolidated with low volume in the 63.5K-64.5K range.
I still recommend: Before the CPI data is released, observe more and act less. There's no need to waste funds on these uncertain moves.
After the CPI data is released, observe the market's reaction immediately. Directional judgment can rely on logic, but entry decisions must wait for a signal: a high-volume candlestick is that signal.
Here’s the strategy I’m providing for after the CPI data release:
**Long conditions:** CPI comes in lower than expected + high volume holds above 64.7K → Open a light long position, target 65.7K, stop loss at 63.5K.
**Short conditions:** CPI comes in higher than expected + a long upper shadow or bearish candlestick near 64.5K confirms resistance → Open a light short position, target 62.5K → 60K, stop loss at 65.2K.
Be patient and wait for the CPI data to drop on Tuesday night!
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