金十数据|Jul 11, 2026 06:53
[Deutsche Bank: Intensive Fed Speeches Next Week, Focus on Officials' Interpretation of CPI Data and Potential Rate Hike Inclinations] Jin10 News, July 11 – Deutsche Bank stated that after several weeks of relatively light commentary from Federal Reserve officials, this week will see a wave of intensive speeches before the upcoming quiet period. The most notable events include: Waller kicking things off with a speech at the National Association for Business Economics in New York on Monday, followed by Chair Powell's testimonies on Tuesday and Wednesday. Several officials will deliver outlook speeches after the release of June CPI data (Cook on Wednesday, Vice Chair Jefferson, Dallas Fed's Logan, and Kansas City Fed's Schmid on Friday). Powell is expected to reiterate his recent stance of maintaining silence on future policy actions. Waller, on the other hand, typically prefers to elaborate on his policy reaction mechanisms and expectations, making his speech closely watched for any signals regarding his policy inclinations. For the outlook speeches, we will focus on how officials interpret this week's inflation data and whether any of them lean toward a rate hike in July. As indicated in the June meeting minutes, 'several' officials believed there was justification for a rate hike last month. Since then, the situation has been mixed: oil prices and inflation expectations initially declined but have since partially rebounded, and the unemployment rate has further decreased. It is not out of the question that dissenting votes in favor of a rate hike could emerge at the July meeting.
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