彼得兔
彼得兔|7月 09, 2026 14:50
BTC Market Analysis 2026.07.09 On 5/14 (81,000) and 5/26 (77,000), we added short positions, and in the June 1 tweet, we mentioned that the first wave of decline starting from 82,850 would end before June 8. On June 8, we indicated that the decline had come to an end, took profit on the short positions, and began a rebound. At the same time, we clearly stated that for the rebound to continue, three daily candles (K-lines) must break through key levels. Even if that happened, the endpoint would still be below 71,000. Subsequently, BTC rose to 67,200, and the third daily K-line marked the end of the rebound, followed by a timely decline. Now, is 57,800 the endpoint of the decline that started from 82,850? This week, we will continue to monitor the 62,000-62,200 range. If the weekly K-line closes above 62,200 at 8:00 AM on July 13 and no new low below 61,200 appears next week, then there will likely be at least another upward move of the same magnitude as 57,800-64,700. If 62,000-62,200 is lost, then the move starting from 64,700 is a deep correction, or the rebound may have already ended at 64,700. If 59,850-60,450 fails to provide support, the probability of the rebound ending will increase.
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