彼得兔|Jul 09, 2026 04:11
SPCX Market Analysis 2026.07.09
In a tweet on June 22nd, it was mentioned that the time window for passive fund buying is a good opportunity for trapped friends to unwind. Subsequently, on June 30th (the day before the inclusion of the Nasdaq 100), SPCX rose to 172. After being given the opportunity to break free, it fell from 172 to 145.2 last night, which also confirms my view that index inclusion can only change short-term supply and demand.
Today, let's talk about the short-term trend expectation of SPCX from a technical perspective:
As shown in Figure 1, the key position below is at 135, which is of great significance. Once it falls below this position, it indicates that SPCX may enter a long adjustment period. The probability of this key position falling below at once is not high, and even if it falls below it, multiple tests may be required. Therefore, playing with 135 as the stop loss level for multiple orders has a profit loss ratio. The closer it is to 135, the better the profit loss ratio. Of course, if it falls below 135 in the future, the attitude of the main force will be very obvious, just follow.
Pay attention to the 170-176 line above, which is the main pressure level in recent times. The rebound against the blue segment in Figure 1 is unlikely to break through this range. If it breaks through 170-176, it indicates a strong rebound and may even expand into a new uptrend. The daily physical K breakthrough is a clear bullish signal.
Summary: If the decline does not exceed 135, the long game will rebound. 170-176 cannot break through - take profit long order, consider short selling. Can break through 176 and then enter more on the right side.
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