帕尔 | 無極Infinity®
帕尔 | 無極Infinity®|Jul 06, 2026 10:59
Palbitcoin: Native Market Weekly Report -7.1 Figure 1: Weekly chart 1) The weekly trend rebounded as scheduled. Last week, we emphasized the need to test the upward trend of stabilizing at 6W, and closed at 64 here. In fact, the main reason for the rise is after Thursday's non farm payroll, with the core logic of weak employment → collapse of interest rate hike expectations → BTC following the rebound of gold. In addition, BTC ETF recorded a net inflow of 224 million on Thursday, ending its 6-day streak of outflows. 2) From a liquidity perspective, the weekly line at 673 needs to be plundered, and the FVG above is waiting to be obtained to see if it can continue to rise this week and test 673. Currently, we are still looking at 6W below, with only the weekly chart closing at 6W showing a slight upward trend. 3) This week's core events: At 2:00 am on Thursday - FOMC meeting minutes (first from the Warsh era) - the top focus of the market. This is the first meeting minutes since K Warsh took office, and investors will search for the following clues word for word: ① the degree of disagreement within the committee regarding the "abandonment of forward guidance" ② whether the assessment of inflation risk is biased towards eagles or doves ③ implicit signals for the subsequent interest rate path. Warsh Sintra made his hawkish debut, but the minutes may reveal more internal divisions within the committee. 4) Personal opinion: I am currently looking at the volatile rebound market, and I believe the price will fluctuate around 60-673. At present, it will continue to rebound. Figure 2: Daily chart 1) In the past 7 consecutive Mondays, BTC has closed down. I don't know what the situation is today. Currently, it is customary to open high at 5.6am on Mondays and then retreat. 2) After plundering 58 on the daily chart, there have been 5 consecutive sunny days, and the current trend here is a strong rebound. At present, it is necessary to observe the opening of the US stock market, continue to rise under a pullback, and directly continue testing the range of h 656. If the candlestick closes negative today, I would think it will go through a pullback and oscillate around 61 before rising again. So it is recommended not to short easily, or at present, it is recommended to go long and short, and to retrace and focus on going long. Figure 3: Hour chart 1) Currently, this is a crucial location. If 623 falls below here and the hourly increase is disrupted, there is a chance to retrace to around 61. If 623 doesn't break here, then it will continue to rise and test against 656. 2) At present, there are large pending orders here that are supported by large orders, but personally, I still hope to see a drop or a plundering of the performance of the US stock market before the market due to liquidation. 3) So let's take a look first, it's not recommended to bet too much directly.
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