ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ|Jul 03, 2026 14:35
🚨 BELOW $58K EVERYONE LOSES CONVICTION. THAT'S EXACTLY WHEN YOU SHOULD BUY.
Nine years of trading crypto, never seen sentiment this confused.
Half the market thinks the bottom is already in.
The other 40% are waiting for $30K. Both sides are going to be wrong.
Here's what actually happens at real bottoms.
Nobody buys them. Not because the price isn't right because the feeling isn't right.
$16K was the most obvious Bitcoin entry of the last cycle.
Everyone in crypto knew it, almost nobody pulled the trigger.
They were waiting for $10K. For a cleaner number, for more certainty.
The certainty never came, the price left without them.
That's how bottoms form.
Not with a capitulation wick that everyone catches perfectly.
With a slow grind that exhausts everyone until the buyers who are left are the ones who stopped trying to time it perfectly.
Here's the base case.
Summer ranging, slow bleed toward $50K.
Then one final flush to around $42K just enough to convince everyone that the $30K target is finally coming.
It won't come. Same as last cycle, same as the cycle before.
When 50% think the bottom is in and 40% are waiting for $30K to $40K that's not a bottom sentiment reading.
That's a market that hasn't fully capitulated yet
Too many people still have a plan, real bottoms don't let you have a plan.
But here's what most people miss.
Waiting for perfect is how you end up not buying at all,
$50K with conviction beats waiting for $30K that never arrives and watching it run to $240K from the sidelines.
Already bought 30% here.
DCA planned at $58K, $55K, $52K, heaviest allocation at $42K if it gets there.
I called the $126K top exactly. Every major turn for 7 years on the record.
Follow now and turn on notifications.(ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ)
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