金色财经
金色财经|Jul 03, 2026 06:03
**[U.S. Stock Earnings Expectations Hit Fastest Growth Since Pandemic, Institutions Warn of "Overheating" Risks]** According to a report by Jinse Finance, on July 3, as the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite Index recently hit record highs, U.S. stocks are in the midst of a frenzy driven by earnings expectations. However, behind the strength of the indices, the rapid pace at which Wall Street analysts are raising corporate profit forecasts has sparked deep concerns within the industry about a potential "earnings bubble." The latest data shows that analysts currently predict a 25% profit growth rate for S&P 500 constituent companies over the next year. The speed of this optimistic expansion is staggering—over the past six months, consensus forecasts for forward profits have been raised by nearly 20% in total, marking a rebound strength not seen since the economy's retaliatory recovery from the pandemic shock in 2021. Ben Inker, Co-Head of Asset Allocation at asset management giant GMO, pointed out that current profit forecasts are in an "unconventional" growth trajectory. He warned that the market will eventually realize that these overly optimistic predictions cannot materialize, and when that happens, a correction will be inevitable.
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