Hupzy (Spot On Chain)|Jul 02, 2026 13:07
June jobs report missed badly โ just ๐ฑ๐ณ,๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ท๐ผ๐ฏ๐ added vs ~110K expected, and May was revised down by ๐ฐ๐ฏ,๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฌ. The unemployment rate ticked to 4.2%, but the headline miss immediately hit rate expectations: probability of a Fed rate hike by September dropped from ๐ฒ๐ฑ% ๐๐ผ ๐ฑ๐ฌ%.
๐๐๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฒ: This is a significant macro miss that shifts the rate narrative. Labor market weakness reduces the Fed's urgency to tighten โ typically supportive for risk assets. A 15-point drop in hike probability in a single print is the kind of move that can reprice the front end quickly. If upcoming data confirms the slowdown, a dovish pivot narrative gains traction and BTC along with broader crypto should benefit from the liquidity read-through. Watch for follow-through in rate-sensitive markets โ the initial reaction is often just the first leg.
source: CoinDesk
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