深潮TechFlow|7月 02, 2026 11:19
[Analyst: The so-called 'bottom is in' narrative is more of a trap; focus should remain on position management]
Deep Tide TechFlow reports that on July 2, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost published an article stating that the recurring notion within the community that 'the market bottom is in' often overlooks the true meaning of a 'bottom.' From a technical perspective, a bottom typically refers to the lowest point during a trend reversal, which is often the deepest wick of a candlestick (even in extremely short timeframes) under extreme conditions. However, the issue lies in the fact that most investors are almost incapable of precisely buying at this exact lowest moment. Therefore, blindly chasing 'bottom fishing' or attempting to predict the bottom holds little practical significance.
Instead of fixating on the absolute lowest price, it is more meaningful to focus on the 'process management' of trading and investing—namely, how to gradually establish and adjust risk exposure. Position allocation itself is a process that requires continuous optimization, much like how the confirmation of a bottom takes time. Darkfost advises market participants to avoid overly relying on narratives such as 'the bottom is in' and to focus more on methodology and execution processes to enhance overall risk management capabilities.
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