defioasis.eth|7月 02, 2026 11:18
Yesterday, someone brought up an interesting question: Does the World Cup's traffic and hype in prediction markets spill over from football/sports to other markets?
Looking at Polymarket, where event trading volume is relatively balanced - Left chart (includes sports) vs Right chart (excludes sports):
With the World Cup in full swing, the sports category now accounts for over 70% of Polymarket's trading volume, pushing weekly trading volume to a new high of $3 billion.
However, when the sports category is removed, Polymarket's non-sports trading volume has been on a downward trend since mid-to-late February, with the Crypto category's trading volume dropping by more than 50%.
On the bright side, Polymarket's political category holdings have been steadily climbing, growing from less than $250 million before the World Cup to $320 million, now making up nearly 45% of the platform's OI.
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink