Today's Bitcoin price performance is very strong, and I increasingly feel that the probability of the second type in the following article is the highest: this rebound market, the price rebounded to the 0.618 level of Fibonacci retracement, which is around 62200. The third trend cannot be ignored, perhaps it will rebound to around 64000 after a long delay. Observe patiently and wait patiently. Don't be impatient, even bear markets have strong rebounds. ======================================= The second option has a 35% probability. Breaking through 61000 in volume, touching 61500-62000, and then being pushed back at 62000. The premise is to have a bullish candlestick on Monday to break the soft and continuous trend of weekend volume contraction. This line cannot come out, this road is closed directly. The third option has a small probability of 15%. Breaking through 62500 in volume, reaching 63670 or even 65000. Three conditions must be met simultaneously: ETF return, stable US stock market, and continuous volume increase. Three deficiencies and one is useless. If we really reach this point, it's not a rebound anymore. We need to reassess the bearish logic.