[Samson Mow Asserts Bitcoin Bottom Is In, Analysts' Views on Future Diverge Further] BlockBeats News, June 28: Jan3 CEO Samson Mow today asserted that the Bitcoin 'bottom is in.' His core argument is that Bitcoin reached its then all-time high 37 days before the halving in April 2024. This unusual early occurrence suggests that the traditional four-year halving cycle has accelerated, and historically reliable time patterns are no longer applicable. 'Even if you believe in cycles, you should conclude that the cycle has accelerated.' However, the market is far from reaching a consensus: 10x Research founder Markus Thielen believes the bottom is more likely at $55,000, with the time window between August and October. BitMex co-founder Arthur Hayes is even more bearish, predicting Bitcoin will hit around $40,000 within six months. Veteran analyst James Van Straten pointed out that Bitcoin is currently testing the 200-week moving average, and on-chain data suggests the $50,000 to $54,000 range could become the next key battleground. Historically, since 2011, Bitcoin has always fallen below its realized price during major bear markets to confirm the cycle bottom, and this signal has yet to appear in the current cycle. [Original Link]