子棋(重生版)|Jun 27, 2026 14:18
The most interesting thing right now isn’t that BTC dropped below $60K, but that almost everyone knows it’s going to drop further.
Recently, the market has shown a fascinating phenomenon:
A few months ago, everyone was talking about:
When will Bitcoin break $100K?
When will the main bull run start?
When will the real big bull market arrive?
But now...
In the comment sections, communities, and among KOLs, almost everyone is discussing the same question:
Will BTC drop to $50K?
Will it drop to $40K?
Will it enter a new bear market?
The market has suddenly become unusually unified.
But after going through several cycles, I’ve realized that what’s truly worth being cautious about is never the price—it’s the sentiment.
Because most of the time, the market doesn’t move based on facts, but on expectations.
When everyone thinks it’s going to rise,
The risks are often already accumulating.
When everyone thinks it’s going to fall,
Opportunities are often quietly approaching.
Of course, unanimous bearish sentiment doesn’t mean an immediate reversal, and I don’t think dropping below $60K necessarily means we’ve hit the bottom.
On-chain tokens are still being exchanged, ETF funds haven’t fully flowed back in,
And U.S. stock risk assets haven’t completely finished their valuation corrections.
All of this suggests the market hasn’t reached its final answer yet.
But here’s something worth pondering: if everyone today knows BTC is going to drop further,
Then the real question isn’t whether it will drop.
The real question is:
If it actually drops to the level everyone expects, how many people will have the courage to buy?
This is the most interesting part of the market—many people can foresee opportunities in advance, but when the opportunity truly arrives, they lose their courage.
Because the lower the price, the scarier the news, the more pessimistic the sentiment, and the greater the doubt.
That’s why the real bottom is never about being unable to buy—it’s about being unable to wait or hold on.
Prices will keep changing.
Sentiments will keep changing.
But cycles have never changed.
When everyone starts discussing the same direction,
I’d rather stay patient, because the biggest opportunities in the market
Are often born after unanimous expectations, not within them.
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