[Probability of 'Fed Raising Rates by 25 Basis Points in July' Drops to 18% on Polymarket, 'Holding Rates Steady' Becomes Dominant Expectation] Monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool shows that the probability of the 'Fed raising rates by 25 basis points at the July meeting' event on Polymarket has dropped to 18.1%, while the probability of 'holding rates steady' has risen to 81%. The total trading volume for this event has reached $21.74 million. The market currently broadly expects the Federal Reserve to maintain its stance during the FOMC meeting scheduled for July 28–29. Although the U.S. May CPI rose 4.2% year-on-year and energy prices have surged significantly due to Middle East tensions, keeping inflationary pressures present, the Fed's decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% during the June meeting has led the market to lean toward waiting for more economic data before determining the next policy path. Key economic indicators, such as the U.S. June CPI data to be released on July 14, along with employment and wage data, will be critical variables influencing the July rate decision. Odaily Seer will continue to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.