BTC's daily chart closed with three lower shadows, and after three attempts to break 59000, it is expected to rebound! 】 Brothers and sisters, the key support position of 58000 Bitcoin tested three times was not broken by the air force, instead, three Japanese K lines were withdrawn from the shadow line. not to do anything more than three times! Due to falling below 58000 US dollars, 1.6 billion long positions will be liquidated. So the bulls are determined to resist to the death, and the short positions have also shrunk, so there is a high probability of a small rebound market in the future. The current price is around 60060, and it is estimated that the price will fluctuate slightly during the weekend and accumulate momentum. It will officially rebound next week. 1. Disk status: Cross star+contraction, direction not coming out. The latest K-line at the 4-hour level closed with a cross star, with extremely small physical size and balanced upper and lower shadows. The trading volume dropped sharply from 7769 to 437: a 94% decrease. This is not normal trading, it's a market shutdown. Both long and short are waiting, neither willing to take action first. The daily level is still within the support structure of the three long shadow lines on June 24-26, but the rebound height is only 2083 points (58500 → 60583), not even reaching 0.382 Fibonacci. If 'three times not broken' is really strong, the rebound should be at least 61500-62000. Not being able to reach indicates that although support exists, the buying power is not strong enough. 2. Polymarket pricing: 60K is the watershed between long and short positions. The data for predicting the market is straightforward: -Probability above 54000: 98.9% - Almost certain -Probability above 58000: 86.8% - probable to hold on -Probability above 60000: 48.4% -50-50 open -Probability above 62000: 10.5% - low probability The market believes that 60000 is the watershed between long and short positions, with insufficient confidence beyond 60K and little risk of falling below 58K. 3. Why can 58000 handle it so well? 58000 is the key position for the transition from resistance to support. Bitcoin has been suppressed by a downtrend line since its high point, and every rebound to that line has failed. Now the price has retreated to test the same line from the other side, which is the standard structure for resistance to support. This trend line intersects with the horizontal demand zone of 58000-60000, forming a triple support verification. All three tests were pulled back, indicating that the buyer is indeed guarding this area. But please note: support needs to be "held" to count. If the daily closing volume falls below 58000, this line has never become support, only a brief pause before the decline continues, and the next target is directly towards 52000-54000. 4. How can I get there on weekends and next week? Weekend liquidity is already thin, and both long and short positions remain inactive. June 27th 16:00 (UTC) is Polymarket's settlement window, and the market is likely to be around 60K by then. The quantitative energy and candlestick pattern also tell us that the expected price rebound space in the future is limited, because it is not a fierce counterattack by bulls, but a passive defense. Based on the three-dimensional integrated trading system and multiple rounds of analysis and prediction of BTC trends, I have come to the following conclusion: Next week, the price of Bitcoin is most likely to rebound to 60500-61000, with a maximum of 61200-61500, below the limit of 62200. It is difficult to reach the rebound target price of 62200 yuan because the current volume is not enough to push it up. We will provide a simple price data list as follows: Upper resistance: 60500-61000 (direct resistance), 62000-62500 (200 week moving average+0.382 retracement); Lower support: 59000-60000 (weak support), 58000 (critical defense), 54000-55000 (on chain hard bottom). Focus on the 61000-62000 range at the beginning of next week, which is the yellow box area at the 0.382 position of the Fibonacci retracement shown in the figure below. 5. Subsequent trading strategies: Long conditions: Increase volume and break through 60500 (4-hour physical bullish line confirmed) → Light position short long, target 61500-62000, stop loss 59000 Short selling conditions: rebound to 61500-62000 with a long upper shadow or solid bearish candlestick → short, target 60000-59000, stop loss 62500 Short chasing conditions: If the volume falls below 58000 and the solid bearish line is confirmed within 4 hours, then chase short with a target of 54000-55000 Weekend light position, 5-8%, 2-3 times leverage, stop loss and don't be greedy. 6. Finally, a warm reminder: A sideways oscillation around 60000 is not a bad thing for bears. A 50-50 open market is not worth betting heavily on. It's more important to move after seeing clearly than to rush into the venue. When the direction is unclear, it is correct to look more and move less. Bitcoin BTC 3D Integrated Trading Analysis