Bitcoin is moving away from a familiar trend, is this happening again? The first paragraph shows an upward trend Starting from the hawkish signal released by the Federal Reserve in the early stage, which fell to 62000, the upward trend line oscillated upwards along 62200, reaching a high of 65597 on Monday The second paragraph shows a secondary upward trend Yesterday, the white market finished out the expectation of interest rate hikes and the expectation of a decline in US stock futures trading. After plummeting to a low point of 61870, a small upward trend line emerged, and a short-term small repair oscillation occurred The structure is the same as the last round Two rounds of logical differences Round One Trend oscillation rises → Federal Reserve hawkish bearish → Directly falls below trend and begins to plummet the second round The internal oscillation and rebound of the small trend have led to a slight increase in prices, but both MACD and VOL are decreasing, and there may still be a decline after the oscillation. There is no new narrative Yesterday, I was a bit deceived by the pre-market decline in the US stock market. I thought there would be a big drop tonight, but at 21:29, I quickly filled a gap and the average price dropped. I wanted to eat a lot of meat, but was stopped by evil forces As long as there is no positive news for the unemployment rate and non farm employment data next Thursday, the probability of a July interest rate hike will increase from over 20% to over 30%. As long as there is no loose positive news for interest rates, repairing the upward trend will be treated as invisible, and no short positions will be released Bitcoin should not break through the first round's upward trend line, at most rising to around 63500-64000. Those who are short can go short here The hawkish Fed's high interest rate suppression remains unchanged, and the rebound is a short selling opportunity btc