彼得兔|Jun 22, 2026 13:33
BTC Market Analysis 2026.06.22
On June 17th, it was indicated that BTC's rebound was hindered. Subsequently, BTC fell by 7% or more from 67292 and has now risen from 62272 to 65000+. The market has reached a critical point, and it is necessary to further sort out the current sub level structure based on yesterday's video analysis.
There are currently two possibilities for the upward trend starting from 62272:
1. Regarding the rebound of 82850-62272 (the blue segment in the figure shows a decline), continue to decline after the rebound ends, and 67292 is the endpoint of the rebound on this path;
2. A rise of the same level as shown in Figure 59130-67272, with a high point above 67292 on this path.
If three consecutive 4-hour K entities break through and stabilize at the 65300-65400 level, the probability of the second possibility will increase. If the daily K line breaks through and stabilizes above 66100 before June 26th, Gann time, the probability of the second trend being established will further increase.
Even if there is still a high point above 67292, it cannot change the nature of the market since 59130, which still belongs to the rebound, with the only difference being the size of the rebound level. If there is a new high point, starting from breaking through 67292, it may end the entire rebound from 59130 within a week at the earliest, and then continue to move downwards to the Gann time window - from the end of July to early August. At that time, I will make my first spot position.
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