Pai 🌲|6月 21, 2026 14:39
美国 Leisure Essays
On Friday, the semiconductor sector surged, with SMH closing+5.76% in one day at 659.88. The distance from the 52 week high point of 663.80 is only one bullish candlestick.
This is not a general upward trend. The Dow Jones Industrial Average only moved 0.14%, the S&P 1.08%, and the Nasdaq 1.91%. Funds are concentrated in semiconductors. NVDA+2.95% to 210, QQ+2.51% to 740. Chip ETFs are nearly three times stronger than the overall market.
SMH's current position is very delicate. The front height of 663 is right above my head, and I encountered it once at the end of March but haven't passed. This time, with a volume of 5.76%, we will either push the previous high to support next Monday, or it will be another fake breakthrough. I'm not sure which one it will be, but Friday's intensity doesn't seem like a test.
NVDA 210 still has 12% space from the 52 week height of 236. If SMH leads the charge, NVDA has more room for replenishment than SMH itself.
Next week's highlight: Can SMH reach a new high. Over, the chip cow is still accelerating. Unable to get through, we need to reassess whether this wave is the final carnival.
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