Bitcoin Weekend Evening Broadcast Over the weekend, BTC is shrinking in volume and honing its skills. Don't be fooled by a small rebound, next week will be the real testing ground Brothers and sisters, the weekend is good now 。 Before going to bed, I saw the BTC price fluctuate slightly at 64200, and after waking up, I saw the BTC price fluctuate slightly at 64200. I suspected that I might have read it wrong, wiped my eyes, and I didn't read it wrong! BTC stablecoin has been born, but it will soon become a volatile coin next week. In recent days, during the US stock market shutdown, BTC has been fluctuating in the range of 63700-64500 for two or three days, bouncing more than 1000 points, but the trading volume is as soft as if it hasn't eaten yet. Someone started asking: Is it going to be reversed? Can we see 67000 again? I advise you not to get too excited for now - first figure out who paid for the money that bounced up. 1. Let's start with the conclusion: this wave has hit over 1000 points, but don't take it too seriously. The price increased from 62200 to 64300, which is 2100 points. But what about the trading volume? On the 4-hour chart, the entities of these rebounding K-lines are not large, and their volume is much lower than when they fell before. This is not about how strong the bulls are, it's about the bears temporarily closing their hands and taking a break. To use the phrase I often say: Poor liquidity on weekends, both long and short positions remain inactive, which is normal. But with multiple heads sneaking up, it's a bit frustrating to watch. 2. The real thing to focus on is next Thursday. Many people know a saying: the biggest pain point for option delivery in the second quarter is that it will be difficult to fall below 60000 next week. That's only half right. That's right: The biggest pain point for the options on June 19th was indeed 65000, and there was indeed a magnetic attraction effect. Wrong: That batch of contracts expired on June 19th. BTC closed at 62500, below the maximum pain point of 65000, and a large number of call options were directly reset to zero. The real focus should be on the quarterly settlement on June 26th - about $13 billion in options expiring, with short positions dominating, which is the biggest variable next week. 3. Can BTC withstand the price of 60000? 60000 is currently the most critical threshold. Once it continues to fall below, the hedging funds of market makers will shift from stabilizing the market to accelerating the decline. Translated into plain language that everyone can instantly understand, it is: 60000 yuan. If you hold on, it's okay; If you can't hold on, it's not a slow decline, it's an accelerated decline. Looking at the current environment - with the US dollar index at 101, a record breaking 30 day ETF outflow of 6.35 billion US dollars, and quarterly settlement short positions dominating - the third test environment of 60000 US dollars is worse than the previous two times. 4. Strategically speaking, let the price go first to the entrance of the examination room. The current resistance band between 64300 and 64500-65000 is only 200-700 points away. At 64500-65000, if there is a long upper shadow or solid negative line within 4 hours, it is a signal of overstocking, rather than an opportunity to chase high with excitement. Stop loss at 66000, target at 60000-61000 first. If you directly smash through 62000 and increase your volume, you can also follow the trend and chase after the empty space. 5. Finally, don't be blinded by small rebounds. Many people are still waiting for 67000 or even 68000 to be empty. Wake up - this rebound is unlikely to go that far. 65000 may be the current stage ceiling. That's right, 60000 is not the end point, it's just a mid price drop. Let's wait together to see the third BTC price test break 60000 and move towards 50000. Bitcoin BTC 3D Integrated Trading Analysis