星球日报|Jun 21, 2026 08:08
**[Polymarket: Probability of "Claude Fable 5 Restoring Access for U.S. Customers Before June 26" Drops to 41%, Down 16% in 24 Hours]**
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Claude Fable 5 restoring access for U.S. customers before June 26" on Polymarket has dropped to 41%, a 16% decrease in the past 24 hours. Due to U.S. government export controls citing national security concerns, Anthropic urgently suspended global access to the Claude Fable 5 model just days after its release on June 9.
Recent updates indicate that Anthropic executives have submitted a proposal to U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, pledging closer collaboration with the White House and efforts to address the security risks that led to restrictions on its powerful "Mythos" and "Fable" models. According to insiders, during ongoing remediation negotiations, Anthropic has committed to resolving any security issues more swiftly in the future, though no definitive timeline for a complete resolution has been provided.
Another source revealed that Anthropic co-founder and Chief Compute Officer Tom Brown, along with Public Policy Director Sarah Heck, are leading negotiations with Trump administration officials. However, representatives from both Anthropic and the Commerce Department have declined to comment.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel will continue to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing occurs.
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