BTC Weekend Market Quick Report: What's Bitcoin Going Through at 63800? Next week is just one word: wait for the empty space, the third time you completely break through 60000 is to run towards 55000! 】 Brothers and sisters, have a nice weekend During the weekend, Bitcoin is likely to hover between 63750 and 64500, oscillating back and forth, making bulls ecstatic and bears frustrated. On weekends, liquidity is already poor, and both long and short positions remain inactive, which is normal. However, the bulls seem to have a slight advantage and are secretly rebounding, which is disgusting! However, this position doesn't seem like it's going up no matter what. 1. The feeling the market gives me is: not excited. The price increased from 62200 to 63800, which is 1600 points. But the trading volume just can't be released. From the 4-hour chart, the recent rebound K-line entities are not large, far behind the volume during the previous decline. This rebound is not about how strong the bulls are, but about the bears temporarily closing their hands. The area between 61000-62000 is indeed a buying area, but the buying power has long been consumed by the first and second tests, which cost around 60000. This is the third time. It's not a big deal. If I touch 60000 again this time, I feel that it's most likely to go straight through and go straight to the price starting with 5. 2. On the macro side, there are all negative factors queuing up. The US dollar index has reached around 101, a new high in a year. The Federal Reserve has just completed its hawkish shift, and the dot matrix shows that several people believe that interest rates will be raised within the year. When the US dollar is strong, interest free assets like Bitcoin are being suppressed. The US Iran agreement has also been signed, and the benefits have long been exhausted. There are still many uncertainties in the implementation of the agreement, Vice President Vance's trip to Switzerland has been cancelled, and Israel is still fighting. There are no more stories to tell about geography. There is also something called the global M2 money supply, which has reached a historic high. But Bitcoin did not follow suit this time, and the previous correlation has been severed. More liquidity does not necessarily lead to an increase in coin prices, and the pricing logic in the market has changed. 3. How can I go next week? I still make that judgment. Around 65000 is the ceiling. Technically speaking, 64100-65000 is a structural resistance zone where 4-hour supply is constrained. Moreover, the vicinity of 65500 is the recent high point, while the area between 66000-67000 is congested, and the probability of rebounding here is extremely low. If you can touch 64500-65000 again on Monday, it will be a gift for empty orders. The first goal is still to look at 60000-61000. If there is support there, you can consider reducing your holdings; If it hits through directly, then continue to see 55000. 4. The strategy is simple, focus on two positions early next week: If there is a long upper shadow or solid negative line on the 4-hour line in the 64500-65000 area, it is a signal of increased warehouse space. Stop loss at 66000, target at 60000 first. If the price goes down directly, falls below 62000 and increases volume, you can also follow the trend to buy short, with the target unchanged. If you have empty orders in your hand now, hold them and set the stop loss for movement. Don't be scared away by small rebounds. Finally, let me say: Many people are still waiting for 67000 or even 68000 to be empty, wake up. The macro has changed, and once the expectation of FOMC interest rate hikes begins to price, it will be difficult for Bitcoin to organize a decent rebound. 65000 is highly likely to be the ceiling of this rebound. 60000 is not the finish line, it's just a road sign waiting to be broken for the third time. Brothers and sisters, let's wait for the third test to break the position and make it five. Bitcoin BTC 3D Integrated Trading Analysis