Neita's final madness was also his final struggle, but in fact, it couldn't change anything. Many people are worried that the recent signing of the US Iran ceasefire memorandum will be in vain due to the violent actions of Neta and Israel. In my personal opinion, this will only create macro disturbances, but it cannot change the climate or reverse the situation. It can only be seen that Neita is powerless and furious about the irreversible situation. Why do you say that? 1. Both the US and Iran have no intention of escalating the situation and are trying their best to downgrade it. As early as late May, https://(x.com)/qinbank/status/2059097307124269240? S=46&t=k6rimWSEbo2D2TXolYcM-A talked about the possibility of the US and Iran reaching a ceasefire model similar to last year's US China trade war, and made it clear that both parties do not want to fight anymore. 2. Iran's re closure of the Strait of Hormuz does not really mean to completely close it, but to force the Trump Treaty to bind Israel. Does the United States have the ability to suppress Israel? It's capable, it just depends on how determined you are. Not to mention the political tactics used in reposting and quoting tweets, but looking at the military aspect: 1) The Israeli Air Force fighter jets are 100% manufactured by the United States. Once the United States stops core components and maintenance support, the Israeli Air Force will face a large-scale grounding within weeks; 2) The Iron Dome interception missile (Tamir) of the Iron Dome system is extensively assembled and produced in the United States (Raytheon Company) with raw materials; These two are the core lifelines of Israel's attack and defense at present. 3. At present, the interests of the United States or the focus of Trump is to cool down the situation, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and restore smooth energy transportation. This is actually no longer the demand of the United States, it should become the common interest of major countries around the world, and no one wants to be affected by high oil prices and energy shortages. The mainstream interests of major economies and energy importing countries around the world are aimed at controlling the upgrade as soon as possible But Netanyahu is committed to hoping to continue the war, which cannot be tolerated by the major economic and security interests of all countries around the world, including the United States. This means that the tolerance of all countries will sharply decline. 4. Now every upgrade by Israel will affect Hormuz, oil prices LNG、 Shipping, inflation, and US Iran negotiations have been impacted, so Israel's actions have shifted from being an "ally behavior that the US can help protect" to a "systemic risk that the US must manage". The more it struggles, the more its strategic space will be rapidly compressed; The more Netanyahu wants to use escalation to prevent negotiations, the more likely he is to turn himself from an ally of the United States into a trouble that the United States must restrain. It cannot be denied that Neita still has a certain "disruptive ability", so as mentioned earlier, his rampage can cause macro disturbances and create fluctuations. But the 'ability to make a definite decision' he mentioned is becoming weaker and weaker, and it is difficult for him to reverse the general direction of the United States and major countries' demand for cooling down. At most, it can only delay but cannot determine the final direction. This article is sponsored by @ bitget_zh, titled 'Bitget Buying US Stocks: Instant Entry, Smooth Trading'