PANews|6月 18, 2026 05:14
[Kraken: Buying Below Bitcoin's 200-Week Moving Average Yields a Historical Median Return of Over 100%]
According to a report by CoinDesk, Kraken's Chief Economist Thomas Perfumo stated that Bitcoin has recently been fluctuating near its 200-week simple moving average, a level that has historically been an almost perfect entry point for bulls. Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin briefly dipped below this moving average twice but recovered before the weekly close on both occasions. Perfumo noted that since mid-2017, closing below this level has occurred on only about 10% of trading days, making it extremely rare. Historical data shows that investors who bought at this level achieved a median return of over 113% within one year and a median return of 313% within two years, with a median breakeven time of just two days. Additionally, the median maximum drawdown within the following year was only 9%. He emphasized that historical performance does not guarantee future results, but historical records suggest that this level often provides significant value for Bitcoin.
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