Murphy|Jun 18, 2026 04:30
This round, my binancecoin: native positions are mainly built in the $500+position, and the total position is much smaller than BTC, so I can also hold it. Finally, when it fell below $1000, it cleared and didn't sell very well.
But BNB has always been one of the most certain cryptocurrency assets besides BTC in my opinion. Its certainty does not come from on chain data, but from Binance's leading position in the industry in terms of human, financial, and resource resources, which cannot be shaken in the short term.
On my technical indicators, BNB in a bear market will consolidate within the monthly channel range for a long time, which means I have enough time to buy back the sold shares. But! The time cost is high and the capital efficiency is low.
In addition, from the previous cycle, the BNB monthly line level adjustment generally does not fall below the upward trend line. As long as there are no major systemic issues with Binance itself, I believe this trend will continue.
The current lower track of the monthly channel is $552; The monthly upward trend line is $497; So, if the BNB price falls within this range, I will consider selling. If it doesn't arrive, priority should still be given to building long-term positions in BTC.
When the market recovers and Binance reopens its launch pool and Megadrop, BNB can still become a high-quality interest bearing asset.
In addition, there is another indicator that can serve as an auxiliary judgment - the trading momentum of BTC; Measuring the activity of BTC transfers in/out of the exchange, when the 30d sma (red line) breaks through the 365d sma (green line), it means a rebound in the momentum of activity within the exchange.
Spring River Water Warmth Duck Prophet! Binance is also the place with the highest concentration of liquidity within the market. The increase in trading momentum and the expansion of corporate revenue are the most solid sources of support for BNB.
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