蓝狐|Jun 18, 2026 01:05
The recent rethinking of Vitalik's concept may have a deeper and more enduring impact on the value of ETH itself than I previously anticipated.
Now it seems that many teams are already starting related work. It is important for the long-term value enhancement of ETH, mainly reflected in the following aspects:
One is that it has the opportunity to lock more ETH into the system, and the actual locking scale will depend on the penetration depth and overall adoption of usage scenarios (especially in areas such as consumer payments, real spending hedging, crypto AI economy, etc.).
Secondly, it can greatly alleviate the cascading clearing effect commonly seen in DeFi, which is an important reason why ETH is easily amplified and plummeting (in contrast, BTC does not have this structural clearing pressure, so it appears more stable).
Specifically, the core difference between the traditional CDP/lending model and the Options based mechanism lies in:
The traditional model typically involves users depositing ETH (or LST) as collateral and lending out stablecoins or synthetic assets (such as DAI); Need to maintain a certain mortgage rate (such as over 150%); Once the price drops, the real-time oracle will trigger forced liquidation.
The advantage of the traditional model is high capital efficiency (supporting leverage), which can directly bring ETH lock in when there is a demand for stablecoins; But the drawbacks are also obvious: cascading clearing will amplify market downward pressure, highly rely on real-time oracle (vulnerable to manipulation or attacks), and the system may also experience negative asset situations.
The Options based model proposed by Vitalik is completely different: splitting one ETH into two types of option tokens, P (protective) and N (risky), with parameters including index T such as USD/ETH, strike price S, and expiration time M. At maturity, settlement is made through a slow oracle (similar to a predictive market, controversial, and accountable), where P+N always equals 1 ETH (never resulting in negative assets).
In this way, when the price fluctuates sharply, it will not "close to zero" like the traditional mode, but present a smooth quadratic curve like drift, giving participants enough buffer space. Users or wrapper DAOs can periodically rebalance (such as scrolling to deeper real valued states of P) to maintain target exposure (such as approaching USD stability).
In summary, the key mechanism shift is from "debt+enforcement" to "options+user/market driven rebalancing". The system has become more robust as a result, but it has also introduced new challenges such as rebalancing costs and slippage.
The actual impact of this scheme on ETH is mainly reflected in:
It may directly strengthen the locking effect of ETH: each unit of synthetic asset issuance corresponds to a higher and more persistent ETH as the underlying support.
The system as a whole only holds ETH (or high-quality trustless assets), creating 1 unit of "stable" exposure (P-heavy) requires a corresponding amount of ETH endorsement, while P+N pairs always anchor 1 ETH.
In contrast, although traditional CDP has a collateral ratio of 150% or more, ETH is sold and released during liquidation, and the lock is dynamic and recyclable; The Options mode does not have a clearing mechanism, and ETH remains in the system as the final settlement support. Even if rebalanced, it mainly involves exchanging P/N on the chain or in the market, rather than forcibly selling ETH.
If the usage scenarios are expanded, such as stable payments, hedging against real expenses, tracking CPI/ETH indices, personalized asset baskets, more people will be willing to hold and issue such synthetic assets, thereby locking in more ETH.
Assuming a scale similar to DAI, if the native stability/index demand for encryption increases by 2-5 times due to a more secure mechanism (with an increase in algorithmic proportion), the locked in amount of ETH will significantly increase, similar to staking but serving financial synthesis scenarios. At present, ETH collateralization has dominated DeFi, and this mechanism will further consolidate its position.
In the lending scenario, this impact will further expand: the newly synthesized assets themselves can serve as higher quality collateral (less prone to collapse), which in turn stimulates the issuance of more synthesized assets, forming a two-way locked in positive feedback.
Of course, the new model may sacrifice some capital efficiency (such as rebalancing costs, annual drift of about 1-4%, etc.), but in return, it brings systemic stability and reduces liquidation risks under high leverage. In the long run, it is more likely to attract real economic activities (payments, RWA, hedging) rather than pure speculative cycles, thereby continuously driving ETH demand.
In addition, the underlying ETH can continue to participate in staking (LST) or protocol layer yield, and the accumulation of interest bearing effects will further enhance the incentives for holders and encourage more lock-in.
Overall, this will significantly strengthen the role of ETH as the underlying asset on the chain: it will no longer be limited to staking, security, and gas, but will also become the ultimate reserve supporting on chain consumption and the true value layer. Synthetic stability for payment will drive up transaction volume and gas demand; Used to hedge against real expenses such as rent and commodities, ETH can absorb more macro and real-world value fluctuations.
If the scenarios are rich enough and the scale is large enough, a strong network effect will be formed, further consolidating the position of ETH as a neutral underlying asset, making institutions, RWAs, and stablecoin issuers more inclined to choose ETH over other assets.
This increase in demand and lock-in will reduce the circulating supply of ETH (decrease in velocity), forming long-term support for the price.
Of course, to avoid excessive optimism, it is also important to recognize the limitations and risks of the new model: rebalancing the slippage point is one of the biggest challenges. If it accumulates beyond a certain threshold (such as>2%/year), competitiveness will decline, adoption will slow down, and ultimately ETH lock in demand may not meet expectations. In addition, it is not a "foolproof" stablecoin and has drift, which is not very suitable for pure accounting or tax purposes, but it is already practical enough for achieving "price stability" hedging.
In the short term, to truly break through, conditions such as Uniswap V4 hooks, mature predictive market oracle machines, and formal verification are still in the experimental stage. The long-term prospects depend on the improvement of user experience and liquidity.
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink