✍️ TL;DR: Kevin Warsh to lead his first FOMC meeting, rates very likely to be untouched 📊 Metrics Used: Social Trends 🔗 Link to chart: https://app.santiment.net/s/GoRFPbGh?utm_source=x&utm_medium=post&utm_campaign=social_trends_fomc_kevin_warsh_b_061626&aff=3 🏦 The market's attention has shifted from whether rates will change to what comes next. With prediction markets like @polymarket & @kalshi assigning roughly a 99% chance that Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting will leave interest rates unchanged, investors are treating a pause as virtually guaranteed. After months of inflation uncertainty and geopolitical tension, a steady-rate decision would reinforce the view that policymakers are comfortable allowing economic conditions to stabilize rather than introducing another market surprise. 📈 For crypto, stability itself can be a catalyst. Traders & investors are already riding high after the beginnings of a mild relief rally have shown following the agreement announced Sunday between the U.S. & Iran. Markets generally dislike uncertainty more than they dislike high rates, and a widely expected pause removes yet another question mark from the investment landscape. If Warsh's accompanying comments strike a balanced tone and avoid signaling a more aggressive policy path ahead, traders may interpret the meeting as another step toward improved liquidity conditions later this year.(Santiment Intelligence)