[Goldman Sachs: Fed Likely to Keep Rates Unchanged at June Meeting, Low Probability of Rate Hike] According to a report by Jinse Finance, on June 16, Goldman Sachs released a research note stating that the most significant change in economic data since the last FOMC meeting is the sharp rebound in job growth, putting the labor market on a more stable trajectory. This has shifted the market's focus to whether inflation has become severe enough to justify a rate hike. However, Goldman Sachs believes the likelihood of a rate hike is low. The bank pointed out that, on one hand, the Federal Reserve typically does not raise rates in response to oil price shocks, and on the other hand, the current environment reduces the probability of oil price shocks triggering self-reinforcing high inflation. That said, some concerning signs have emerged, and if inflation expectations or the breadth of high-inflation categories rise significantly, the probability of a rate hike will increase. Goldman Sachs believes that during the first June meeting under the new chair, the FOMC is likely to keep the federal funds rate unchanged and remove the previous forward guidance hinting at rate cuts. The bank expects the meeting statement to only remove the phrase 'the extent and timing of additional adjustments' regarding federal funds rate adjustments.