Prediction of the Content of the Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran The content of the memorandum of understanding is currently ambiguous, ranging from Iran's 13 point proposal (which is essentially equivalent to the United States surrendering after defeat) to Trump's proposal of immediate opening of the strait and Iran abandoning its nuclear weapons. I hereby make an unambiguous prediction: 1. Iran is bound to receive the benefits of the 'Strait Charge', and on the basis of receiving the benefits, it will give up all its face to the United States, including: a) To save face for the United States in terms of fee names, such as not calling tolls, but calling them strait shipping service fees, insurance fees, etc. And it is nominally collected together with Oman (in fact 9:1 points). b) During the 60 day negotiation period, there will be no charges for now, giving Trump face and making it easier for him to boast domestically that the strait has been opened immediately and for free, winning and winning. 2. The final outcome of the 60 day negotiations on the nuclear issue will be: Iran promises not to develop nuclear weapons, dilute existing highly enriched uranium, accept supervision from the International Atomic Energy Agency (returning to the Obama nuclear agreement), but will never export uranium out of Iran. Since Iran has already discovered the usefulness of the Strait as an 'economic nuclear weapon' and has it in its hands, there is no need to risk the world and repeat the development of nuclear weapons. [Key point: This is Iran's leverage] The memorandum of understanding and final agreement will not contain any restrictions on Iran's ballistic missiles. 3. The United States and Europe lift all trade, financial, and oil blockades and sanctions against Iran. 4. All fronts, especially in southern Lebanon, will cease hostilities, but Israel will not comply and will not withdraw from southern Lebanon. There will still be conflicts, but it will not lead to the bankruptcy of the final peace talks. 5. The United States will unfreeze $24 billion of frozen Iranian funds in batches based on the progress of Iran's implementation of the agreement 6. There is a statement similar to 'the United States helps Iran rebuild', but there will be no specific statement like Iran's thirteen '300 billion dollar reconstruction plan', and Trump will beautify it as' seizing the business opportunity for Iran's reconstruction '. 7. There will be no clause stating that the United States will withdraw its troops from the vicinity of Iran (Article 13 of Iran) 8. Iran demands that the agreement must be passed by vote at the United Nations Security Council. In 1956, Egypt announced the nationalization of the Suez Canal. Britain and France joined forces with Israel to intervene and attempt to regain control. Under joint pressure from the United States and the Soviet Union, Britain ultimately lost control of the Suez Canal. In this war between the United States, Israel, and Iran, the United States lost crucial control of the Strait of Hormuz. This was the "Suez Canal moment" for the United States and the twilight of its global hegemony. Finally, let's talk about the transaction related parts The 50% spot ETH sold on June 11th at 1629 has triggered a stop loss of 1710 and has been fully repurchased, resulting in a loss of 2.42% on the currency base. Short term trends are difficult to predict, which means that the long-term trading success rate should be 50%. To make a profit, we can only rely on: a) Strictly cut losses when making mistakes (this time losing 2.42%), b) Seize the profits when doing the right thing (15.9% profit from trading on February 6th/March 4th, 20.9% profit from trading on April 8th/June 5th). Alternatively, it can be expressed as follows: Ordinary people entering the trading market are likely to lose money because they always cling to losses and run away as soon as they make a profit. Making money is simple: just play against these people's opponents. Many analysts like to use descriptions such as' banker/main player attracting funds, shaking the market, and pulling up '. At first, I sneered: any major trading target is a complex global market, where do the controlling market makers come from? Later on, I understood: what is a banker? Divide all traders in the market into two halves based on the size of their funds, and the counterparty of all retail investors is called the market maker