星球日报
星球日报|6月 15, 2026 10:14
The World Cup has pushed the predicted market trading volume to a new high, and Bernstein said Robinhood may benefit Odaily Planet Daily News: Bernstein said that Robinhood is expected to have a "strong tailwind" as the predicted market trading volume reaches a new high during the World Cup. Data shows that the predicted daily trading volume of the FIFA World Cup market rose from $2.2 billion on June 11th to $4.8 billion on June 12th, setting a new historical high and surpassing the $1.4 billion trading volume during the previous Super Bowl. Analysts point out that since its launch, the predictive market has become one of Robinhood's fastest-growing product lines in terms of revenue growth. The agency predicts that Robinhood's market revenue will grow from $150 million in 2025 to $586 million in 2026, a year-on-year increase of approximately 286%, and is expected to account for 17% of transaction related revenue and 10% of total revenue in 2026. Bernstein believes that Robinhood's collaboration with Rothera, an exchange and clearing institution regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is one of its competitive advantages. Since its launch on May 28th, Rothera has traded approximately 200 million contracts within 18 days, with FIFA World Cup and MLB related contracts contributing nearly all of the trading volume. Analysts say that Robinhood's core advantage lies in its distribution capability, with its large user base, $0.01 commission per contract, and Gold membership discount of up to 50%, which helps drive user engagement. In addition, Bernstein stated that competition in the predicted market track is expanding, including Polymarket launching private company event contracts and Kalshi launching cryptocurrency perpetual contracts. The organization expects that the World Cup will bring more than $3 billion in new betting volume to the prediction market and drive an increase of $5 billion to $10 billion in consumer transaction volume throughout the industry. (The Block)
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