Please note that the agreement will be signed in Switzerland on Friday, June 19th. According to this content, Iran has made a lot of money Chuanchuan, it's taco again Iran only pays one ⃣ Reiterating not to develop nuclear weapons under the Treaty on the Non Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (Article 9) - this has been Iran's long-standing official stance. two ⃣ The final agreement only covers the future of enriched uranium materials and enrichment processes (Article 14) - that is, only willing to discuss nuclear technology itself, and it is a matter for the future. But it can be obtained one ⃣ Article 7 requires the United States and its allies to provide at least $300 billion in reconstruction plans - verbally, difficult to implement. two ⃣ Article 11: During the negotiation period, 24 billion US dollars of frozen funds must be released, and half (12 billion US dollars) must be given before the negotiation - it is difficult to estimate any kind of nonsense. three ⃣ Suspending sales sanctions on oil and petrochemical products (Article 6) and lifting maritime blockades (Article 3) - means that Iran's economic lifeline is immediately restored and it can earn a lot of foreign exchange. four ⃣ The United States promises not to interfere in its internal affairs (Article 2), withdraw troops from Iran's periphery (Article 4), and refrain from increasing troops or imposing new sanctions during negotiations (Article 10) - comprehensive TACO five ⃣ The issue of Iran's missile program and support for resistance groups such as Hezbollah and Hamas has been clearly removed from the agenda - Iran's core assets are equivalent to the United States tacitly acknowledging Iran's existing sphere of influence in geopolitics. six ⃣ Article 5 stipulates that the reopening of the strait is arranged by Iran, which is equivalent to recognizing Iran's absolute control over the strait. So this version of the agreement is simply untrue and favorable for Iran. The pit came out: one ⃣ In history, such "memoranda of understanding (MOUs)" did not have mandatory legal effect and were more like drafts for both parties to test the bottom line. Even if it is officially signed on the 19th, if any part of the negotiations gets stuck in the next 60 days (such as the United States not paying or Iran not cooperating with nuclear inspections), the agreement may be invalidated at any time. two ⃣ Trump may face strong backlash from domestic Iran hawks, as the agreement only avoids issues such as Iran's nuclear capabilities and ballistic missile program, which are the fundamental reasons why he launched the war. three ⃣ We can never normally consider Netanyahu and Israel. So, I think this is just a conclusion from the past two months, which is a positive release. The new war has just begun, and there will still be small-scale information fluctuations, but they will not have as significant an impact as before. What really matters is the black swan event that occurred after one side tore it apart that day.