[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 98.5%] Jin10 Data reported on June 15: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 98.5%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 1.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by July is 91.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 7.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 1.4%.