Today's troublemaker is Israel. Many friends are saying that if it weren't for Israel, the peace talks might have already succeeded. I completely agree. I even think that if it weren't for Netanyahu, the U.S. might not have directly acted against Iran. Right before the U.S. and Iran were about to sign an agreement, Israel attacked Beirut again, which led Iran to doubt whether the U.S. could control Israel. Of course, Iran itself probably wasn't ready to sign the agreement on Sunday either. As I mentioned yesterday, the biggest concern now is that the U.S. is still talking to itself, thinking it has already won. This is the biggest disruption to the market. However, judging from Iran's performance today, although they haven't agreed to sign on Sunday, they have indeed shown a willingness to sign a peace agreement. In this regard, the U.S. probably hasn't exaggerated too much, even though Trump is still insisting that the agreement can be signed on Sunday. We'll know by tomorrow morning. The market doesn't seem very optimistic about the agreement being signed on Sunday, and there's also concern that even if it is signed, the Strait of Hormuz won't be opened smoothly. There's even more worry that Israel will continue to stir things up. But I think it's very likely that the U.S. and Iran will reach some sort of agreement that doesn't include Israel and Lebanon. After all, Iran itself has stated that it can do without nuclear weapons, so the biggest conflict should be resolved. The rest is just details. Trump is nervous because the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is at 2 a.m. on Thursday. If a peace agreement can't be reached before the meeting to lower market expectations for oil prices, Powell's debut might not look good. This is one of the reasons why Trump is in such a hurry. After debating all weekend, I think I'll still go with a dual-token approach for bitcoin:native. On Monday, I'll find a time to buy in with dual tokens, probably around $62,000 to $63,000. I think this is a pretty good position. Hopefully, I can catch it. If the U.S. and Iran reach a peace agreement, there might be a rally. If they don't, the probability of a rebound at this position is still decent. Bitget: Join and you're VIP! Crypto, U.S. stocks, CFDs—global opportunities, all in one place!