律动BlockBeats|6月 12, 2026 05:45
Trump hastily releases reconciliation signal, US Iran communication trapped in 'human flesh transmission' delaying negotiations
According to BlockBeats, on June 12th, there were once again disagreements between the United States and Iran regarding the progress of negotiations on a potential agreement. US President Trump has repeatedly publicly stated that the agreement is "close to signing" and even said it could be reached as early as this weekend, but Iran responded through Fars News Agency that the relevant text has not yet received final approval from the highest level. According to multiple informed sources, the current communication mechanism between the United States and Iran has become highly indirect. Due to security concerns and communication restrictions of Iran's top leadership, negotiation information needs to be relayed through third-party countries and then delivered to the underground decision-making level in Tehran by artificial messengers, with an overall transmission cycle of several days. According to sources, US proposals are usually conveyed by intermediaries such as Pakistan, and then transmitted to Iran's core decision-making level in a non digital manner, which may take 3 to 5 days for a single round trip communication. Some diplomats pointed out that even if the conditions go smoothly, there is still a significant delay in the confirmation of the agreement text. US Secretary of State Rubio has previously acknowledged significant communication delays, stating that "feedback transmission takes several days" and sees it as one of the main obstacles to advancing negotiations. In terms of negotiation content, both sides are currently mainly focused on ceasefire and basic arrangements, while complex issues such as sanctions lifting, nuclear issues, and asset arrangements are left to be dealt with later. Analysts point out that this phased structure is difficult to implement in the absence of face-to-face consultations. Former US Middle East negotiator Aaron David Miller said that complex agreements typically require weeks of concentrated face-to-face negotiations, and the current model is difficult to support high-tech clause refinement. At the same time, Iran has significantly reduced the use of digital communication for security reasons to avoid positioning risks, which is believed to further exacerbate the decline in communication efficiency. Some analysts believe that this low-frequency communication method may be used by Tehran to prolong the pace of negotiations and enhance the game space. However, there are still limited direct communication channels between the United States and Iran, including indirect information exchange between White House envoys and Iranian foreign ministers. However, overall, the current progress of negotiations still heavily relies on third-party coordination and non real time information transmission mechanisms. Several diplomats have pointed out that under the current structure, the pace of reaching an agreement still depends on the efficiency of mediation by the intermediary and the political judgment of both parties, rather than the traditional direct negotiation process. [Original link]
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