As mentioned in the quote, the current market is still trading positive for CPI, which is expected to last until next Tuesday at most. In the morning of 4200+/67+/63400+, I sold out some of the gold, silver, and large cakes I bought before, and added some crude oil. Gold and silver were bought a bit early, and later the low price was supplemented to lower the cost, but still suffered a slight loss. The reason why they are selling now is because they feel that there is already a bearish trend in the short term. Even if they do not completely break through the level in the future, it is still better to stabilize and retreat first. When the trend becomes clear, there may still be around 4000 positions to buy. This rebound is also the result of the joint action of two main factors. One is the macro reason for the CPI to improve, and the other is that the US and Iran have eased again. Trump claims to sign an agreement. I won't say much about CPI, let's focus on geography. The oil price has declined many times due to the easing of the situation, especially on April 17 when Trump declared that the Strait was the most open, once falling below 80. Yesterday's rebound also had a lot to do with easing the situation through hard work. After all, Trump is a famous line painter. When the risk assets are at a low level, he is too motivated to create some benefits, which he has never let us down. But no matter what he says, the physical state of the Strait of Hormuz has never changed, and he can only change his expectations in the short term. So our operation is simple and straightforward, which is to ensure that Iran, as a market hub, can ease or tighten at any time according to the market situation. If things ease now, sell risky assets and buy crude oil. If things get tense in a while, buy risky assets and sell crude oil. Of course, it is still necessary to prevent the occurrence of "real easing+risk assets continuing to surge+oil continuing to fall". At present, the crude oil position can only be an event position/reverse fluctuation position rather than a belief position. In terms of technique, I tend to lean towards batch trading and fast in and fast out, which is not suitable for suddenly weaving into a single line script of "betting on the short-term situation to be even more tense". Especially with SpaceX's listing today, the upcoming interest rate hike next Sunday, and the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, there is enormous uncertainty that could cause severe market volatility. Making mistakes by taking advantage of the opportunity to cut losses, and making the right decisions that are not very clear, short-term buying low and selling high can be done by surfing the waves.