星球日报|Jun 11, 2026 21:24
Report: US users or contributors contribute up to $34 billion in offshore forecast market trading volume
Odaily Planet Daily News: Consulting firm Crane Zeng has released a report stating that although some offshore forecasting market platforms should theoretically block American users, American users may still contribute a significant amount of trading activity. The report estimates that the trading volume of US users in the offshore forecasting market is approximately $11 billion to $34 billion, accounting for 12.5% to 31.5% of the total trading volume in the US forecasting market. Among them, Polymarket alone contributed $11 billion to $27 billion in related trading volume, and the report states that this estimate is still "conservative". The report also predicts that if the relative share of regulated and offshore markets remains unchanged, the annual trading volume of US users in the offshore forecasting market may reach $133 billion by 2030. The market is predicted to grow rapidly in the past two years, with Kalshi and Polymarket as the main representatives. Although the US CFTC has recently relaxed its attitude towards the domestic forecasting market, unlicensed offshore platforms are still prohibited from providing services to US users. Polymarket was banned from operating in the United States in 2022 for not registering to serve American customers.
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink