金十数据|Jun 11, 2026 07:53
Dutch Bank: European Central Bank's inflation concerns are expected to outweigh economic growth concerns. On June 11th, Dutch Bank stated that European Central Bank President Lagarde had previously hinted that June would be the "appropriate time" to assess the impact of the Iran conflict and update economic forecasts. The April meeting and subsequent speeches indicate that there is a high possibility of interest rate hikes at the upcoming meeting. Dutch Bank predicts that the European Central Bank will raise its inflation forecast and hint at the possibility of further tightening policy, possibly by another 25 basis points in July. It is expected that the European Central Bank Management Committee will send a signal that interest rates may have to be further raised. Despite the slowdown in growth in the eurozone, the Dutch bank believes that policymakers' concerns about inflation still outweigh their concerns about economic activity. As the market has fully digested the expectation of a June interest rate hike, investors' attention will be focused on the updated forecast from the European Central Bank and guidance on the path of interest rates after this week.
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