On Monday, the market is now divided. Last week, the overall decline of all assets except US Treasuries was essentially another liquidity flight for no other reason. The market is aware of foam and risks, but they are pretending not to know how to continue playing drums and spreading flowers, so they can run faster than rabbits if there is any disturbance. But the probability of this decline is still a test rather than the final one. The stock market is likely to rebound, but we really can't be greedy for the next high point The decline of gold and silver is driven by the expectation of interest rate hikes, but we have repeatedly stated that this is just an expectation. Expectations can be artificially controlled and may change at any time. The expected trading price is what we really care about. Currently, as long as gold does not break the previous low of 4100, there is no problem. Even if it breaks, it will not experience a deep bear. We can place an order at 3900. Silver mainly follows gold, without further analysis. Based on the price of gold, find the previous low and convert it according to the corresponding range of 61-55. The rise in crude oil prices is not surprising, don't expect the Iran issue to be resolved quickly and the strait to be unobstructed. To put it bluntly, even if the strait suddenly opens and oil tankers run away at this moment, the global market's demand for replenishment and the need to guard against future interruptions can maintain high oil prices for a considerable period of time. Therefore, shorting at the 90 level is very uneconomical. This morning, the big cake has already started to rebound, reaching around 64200 at one point. According to the logic that the cryptocurrency circle is a leading player in the US stock market, it is highly likely that the US stock market will rebound this week. The buying window for cheap chips will not be too long, otherwise the cost of the main force will be too high. The ultimate position for the rebound of Da Bing in this round is at most around 72000, which is a key level since the beginning of the last bull market. And the central position can probably be placed at 68000, with the lowest rebound target at 65000, forming a price box around which I will probably place an order.